There’s no question All-Pro receiver Brandon Lloyd will help the already dangerous New England Patriots offense. Although the Tom Brady-led attack was dominant throughout the season, although the New York Giants were able to slow it down during Super Bowl XLVI. Wes Welker, Deion Branch, Rob Gronkowski, and Aaron Hernandez, Brady’s top targets, all thrive in the middle of the field, but the offense posed no true vertical threat. The Giants were therefore able to focus their efforts in that one area and ended up winning the game.
With catches like this on his resume, Lloyd will demand respect on the outside and force defenses to spread. With Brady as quarterback, any receiver is a threat. Give him 4 Pro Bowlers, three of whom received All-Pro honors, and New England will certainly cause problems for a lot of defenses.
His ability to draw coverage is a valuable asset to the Patriots, however, fantasy owners of the former Ram should beware. In his 10-year career, he has only caught for 1,000 yards once (2010). Additionally, that season was his only year with double-digit touchdowns (11), which is more than double the amount he has caught in any other season (*not including 2004 when he caught 6). Although he has a knack for catching highlight reel passes, he also is known to drop a lot of easy ones, which can be very bad for fantasy teams.
Brady is comfortable with his All-Pro options and will continue to target them. Lloyd will see his fari share targets, but will almost certainly be a third option. Last season, Welker was the second-most targeted receiver in the league, Gronkowski was 16th and Hernendez was 31st. New England was second in the league in passing yards and will not want to make too many changes to their offense that clearly dominates the NFL.
Bottom line: Lloyd will help the Patriots, but is being overvalued by fantasy players. When New England signed Chad Johnson last season, he was overhyped and ended up underperforming. Lloyd is in the exact same situation and although he probably wont play as poorly as Johnson did, it’s hard to believe he’ll have another 1000-yard season. His numbers will most likely be closer to 600 yards with 3-5 touchdowns Many will draft him as their number two receiver, so let them deal with his shortcomings. If he’s still around in later rounds, he could be a good third or bench option.
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